The
two incumbent Republicans among Vermont's state officeholders
are facing strong challenges now that the primary
results are in and the election campaign can begin
in earnest.
Neither Gov. James Douglas nor his Democratic challenger,
Peter Clavelle, faced opposition in the primaries,
so the question of who would run was never in doubt.
Clavelle, the mayor of Burlington, has devoted the
summer to carving out an identity as a state leader,
offering a distinct choice with ambitious plans to
address issues such as health care reform.
Even so, he faces the difficult challenge of trying
to unseat an incumbent who has done a creditable job
in his first term. Vermont voters are generally reluctant
to turn out an incumbent without evidence of serious
incompetence, and even voters skeptical of Douglas'
moderate, business-oriented approach to problem-solving
may shrink from giving him the boot.
Lt. Gov. Brian Dubie faces a stiffer challenge in
holding on to his job. Dubie, a Republican, won two
years ago, despite an absence of experience in state
politics, because Democrat Peter Shumlin and Progressive
Anthony Polllina split the liberal vote. Dubie won
with only 41 percent of the vote in 2002.
He will face former Sen. Cheryl Rivers, a Democrat
with strong support from the liberal end of the spectrum.
The Progressive Party also has a candidate in the
race, Steve Hingtgen. But Progressives who voted for
Pollina two years ago, then watched Dubie win, may
be inclined to support Rivers this year. Hingtgen
does not have the statewide following that Pollina
did, and Rivers is a favorite among Progressive-oriented
voters.
Rivers' opponents would like voters to view her as
someone with a "big mouth," which is a pejorative
way of describing someone who may otherwise be viewed
as principled and outspoken. Women often run up against
the tendency to dismiss forcefulness in politics as
unladylike. Even if Rivers may rub some people the
wrong way, she has won a loyal following through consistent,
committed attention to important issues, particularly
health care.
Dubie has been an unusual lieutenant governor, carving
out a niche for himself as a promoter of Vermont business
interests in Asia and Canada. His anti-abortion views
make him anathema to a segment of the electorate for
which the abortion question remains a key signifier
of whether a candidate respects the rights of women.
As lieutenant governor, Dubie's views on abortion
may have little effect on events, but the issue of
abortion remains a litmus test for some pro-choice
voters, as it does for some abortion foes.
In the race for the U.S. Senate, Jack McMullen has
finally won the chance to run against Sen. Patrick
Leahy. Six years ago McMullen was the victim of a
practical joke, when folk hero Fred Tuttle defeated
him in the Republican primary. He faced no Tuttle
this time. But now he faces Leahy, who has become
another kind of folk hero, not just in Vermont but
nationwide. Leahy has become a leading opponent of
many of President Bush's policies having to do with
the judiciary, government secrecy and the war in Iraq.
Just ask Vice President Cheney. McMullen will not
have an easy time persuading Vermonters that Leahy
is on the wrong track.
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